Gasoline
Photograph ©2021 by Brian Cohen.

Two Reasons to Expect Gasoline Prices to Drop. A Little Bit. Slowly.

Why relief may be in sight.

The price of oil dropped greater than eight percent today, Monday, March 14, 2022 to as low as $99.76 per barrel for West Texas Intermediate crude oil — temporarily crossing below the threshold of $100.00 per barrel — as well as low as $103.68 for a barrel of Brent crude oil, which is one reason why the price for a gallon of gasoline could drop in the near future after skyrocketing to record levels…

Two Reasons to Expect Gasoline Prices to Drop. A Little Bit. Slowly.

Pumping gasoline fuel
Photograph ©2015 by Brian Cohen.

…but another reason why you may eventually be paying less money for a gallon of gasoline is because some states have either passed — or are considering passing — measures which would temporarily eliminate the tax which they charge per gallon of gasoline.

For example, the governor of the state of Georgia vowed to sign in to law House Bill 304 — once the General Assembly of Georgia passes it — to temporarily suspend the gasoline tax in order to provide some relief to beleaguered consumers who endure sticker shock at the pump, according to this message which was posted to the official Twitter account of Brian P. Kemp:

Discussion and debate are also currently occurring among lawmakers on whether to temporarily suspend the tax which is imposed by the federal government of the United States — but no decision has been reached at the time this article was written.

Reasons Which Are Attributed to the Increase in Fuel Prices

Gasoline station prices
Photograph ©2022 by Brian Cohen.

One of the reasons why the cost of a barrel of crude oil — which is refined for use as gasoline in motor vehicles, among other things — is attributed to the hostile invasion of Ukraine by armed military forces of Russia.

Additionally, other factors which have converged and contributed to fuel prices substantially rising in the United States include inflation, the 2019 Novel Coronavirus pandemic, increased demand for fuel as the start of the summer driving season nears, and the switch to summer blend gasoline from the winter version of the fuel — all of which propelled the average price for a gallon of gasoline in the United States to increase for eleven consecutive weeks to another new record level of $4.325 before stabilizing, according to data from the American Automobile Association.

At one point last week, gasoline prices have reportedly exceeded $9.00 per gallon in California — which currently has the highest fuel prices in the United States — but at the time this article was written, only one fuel station sells gasoline whose price exceeds $8.00 per gallon; and the price exceeds $7.00 per gallon of gasoline at a minimum of five fuel stations.

Final Boarding Call

Gasoline station
Photograph ©2022 by Brian Cohen.

Getting excited about a potential decrease in the price of a gallon of gasoline can be difficult. One reason is because gasoline prices have been known to increase significantly — as much as 20 cents at a time — like a bullet which was shot out of a gun; while they seem to decrease slower than a feather descending towards the ground while buoyed by a light breeze. Think one or two cents every couple of days or so.

The price of a barrel of crude oil could skyrocket again for various reasons, which could prevent the price of gasoline from decreasing.

Also, gasoline prices have increased substantially enough that any decrease will likely not provide much of a respite or relief…

…but I suppose that any decrease in the price of a gallon of gasoline — if it happens at all — is better than none…

All photographs ©2015, ©2021, and ©2022 by Brian Cohen.

  1. My usual gas station charges 85 cents/gallon more than I paid 2 weeks ago. 2 weeks ago today was the end of nirvana. The next day, Tuesday, prices started to go up. With trying to save gas and even walking for some short trips, I have managed to lower gas consumption significantly. I may be able to hold on for 2 to 2.5 week from buying gas.

    On the other hand, I might only save 10 cents/gallon by delaying and probably not that much. 10c x 15 gallons is only $1.50 saved.

    The next time I fill up will be the highest price paid per gallon. It may or may not be the highest paid at one time, though one fill-up in 2014 may still be a record. I confess that I have saved all my gas receipts for my own car (but not rental cars) since 2005 as well as recording every purchase either in a notebook or spreadsheet. Please do not commit me to an insane asylum!

  2. i’m glad i don’t own a car. bicycles rule!

    this sentence needs addressing:
    “One of the reasons why the cost of a barrel of crude oil — which is refined for use as gasoline in motor vehicles, among other things — is attributed to the hostile invasion of Ukraine by armed military forces of Russia.”

  3. @rmh reads and comments on a travel blog but only uses a bike. Interesting. It’s like Bidden telling us to buy electric cars as he rides around in a 4 MPG limo with a fleet of SUVs protecting him.

  4. March 15: I am happy to announce that my most used gas station’s price peaked at 85 cents higher than when I bought gas on the last day before the spike (2/28/2022). Today, it is 8 cents lower than the peak. I can hold on for about 10 more days before I have to buy gas. Maybe it will be 11 cents lower from the peak. I am glad I did not panic buy and buy 1/4 of a tank (3/4 full) at the peak.

  5. All my monitoring gas prices was useless. I saw the peak at 85 cents more than when I last bought gas on February 28th, the day before the spike. Prices then went down at my usual station by 7 cents last week. That was the time to buy. I did not.

    Today, nearly 4 weeks later, the price is back to the peak. I had to buy gas or risk running dry later today.

    However, the second vehicle can wait. I will see what to do. I can wait as long as 3 more weeks for that vehicle.

    1. Interestingly, derek, the price for gasoline dropped by as much as 55 cents per gallon where I am based and has yet to recover. I hope prices drop again for you soon.

      When prices are high and I know I will not need to use my vehicle a lot, I will not fill up the tank all the way. I fill several gallons at a time and then do a complete fill-up when prices do drop to a level at where I know it is a relatively good value…

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